Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.146979 0.178921 0.213493 0.253397 0.297895 0.345718 0.400723
2025-03-09 0.101796 0.143278 0.192155 0.252758 0.324686 0.406220 0.504526
2025-03-16 0.067538 0.111607 0.168378 0.243813 0.338530 0.450895 0.591664
2025-03-23 0.050942 0.097831 0.163213 0.255183 0.375815 0.523821 0.714372
2025-03-30 0.035339 0.080983 0.150492 0.254200 0.396184 0.576001 0.813357
2025-04-06 0.024551 0.068074 0.140543 0.254831 0.417405 0.629007 0.914224
2025-04-13 0.017804 0.059744 0.135678 0.261376 0.445998 0.691679 1.028367
2025-04-20 0.013145 0.053617 0.133015 0.270294 0.477577 0.758606 1.149047
2025-04-27 0.009462 0.047907 0.129836 0.277606 0.506582 0.822363 1.266530
2025-05-04 0.005979 0.040484 0.121916 0.276121 0.522038 0.867519 1.359904
2025-05-11 0.003981 0.035929 0.118526 0.281436 0.547330 0.926370 1.472144
2025-05-18 0.002204 0.030094 0.111088 0.278767 0.559833 0.967142 1.560326
2025-05-25 0.000775 0.022614 0.098033 0.264840 0.554341 0.982740 1.615587
2025-06-01 0.000331 0.019570 0.094783 0.268526 0.576752 1.038780 1.727236
2025-06-08 0.000054 0.015250 0.086644 0.261715 0.581445 1.068795 1.803067
2025-06-15 0.000015 0.014492 0.088590 0.275131 0.620051 1.149498 1.950872
2025-06-22 NaN 0.011990 0.084213 0.274981 0.635581 1.195956 2.050969
2025-06-29 NaN 0.010006 0.080706 0.276161 0.653180 1.245625 2.156072
2025-07-06 NaN 0.008921 0.080037 0.283366 0.681315 1.311597 2.285080
2025-07-13 NaN 0.008184 0.080460 0.292948 0.713765 1.384503 2.424651
2025-07-20 NaN 0.007356 0.080154 0.300763 0.743196 1.453123 2.558707
2025-07-27 NaN 0.005879 0.076066 0.299261 0.755704 1.495657 2.655433
2025-08-03 NaN 0.005117 0.075034 0.304901 0.781207 1.558645 2.782358